Vedant Misra

I work on AI at HubSpot. Previously I was founder/CEO at Kemvi (acquired by HubSpot). I'm interested in artificial intelligence, consciousness, rationality, neuroscience, markets, and Mexican food.

It hasn't snowed in New York yet

...and this Thursday, weather.com tells me, it will be 52 degrees F out. That's definitely warmer than it was last year around this time. It feels like it's October, not December.

"OMG GLOBLA WARMING!!!!!!!11 ROFLCOPTER NOOO KHAAAAAN"

No. Wrong.

An entire winter season, much less a single warm weekend, is statistically insignificant in the timeframe that global warming deals with. Our convenient ball of dirt has been around for 4 billion years and change. Homo sapiens has been around for somewhere between 100,000 and 250,000 years, and we've only been killing the Earth for the last 200 years or so. Researchers have observed, using ice core samples and other proxies, cyclic variations in global CO2 levels with periods of about 100,000 years; the same cyclic variations, presumably, should be having an effect today.

Now, I'm not one of the crazies who says global warming isn't happening. But a single month's events are not enough to make any argument whatsoever about global climate changes, so please don't proliferate the incorrect conclusions of your lay-climatology.

MB: It's gonna be warm out this weekend.
ED: Uh oh.
MB: What?
ED: Haven't you heard? It's global warming! Haven't you seen the documentary?
MB: What, An Inconvenient Truth?
ED: No, The Day After Tomorrow. If we don't do something about global warming, wolves are going to attack New York! Don't you see?