Writing

Essays and thoughts on AI, machine learning, and complex systems

Highlighted Posts

@vedantmisra
Performance vs Compute scaling graph

"It's a bubble!"

November 8, 2025 • 19.3K views • 174 likes

Here is the graph you need to understand. What looks like a bubble is just the visible edge of an exponential. Each 100x jump in compute pushes us into a new capability regime.

Pretraining is still accelerating toward the noise floor and following scaling laws. Somewhere along that path, it's possible that we get superintelligence.

Gemini 3 Flash benchmarks

Intelligence too cheap to meter

December 17, 2025 • 5.8K views • 64 likes

In nine months we have seen HLE 0.21 → 0.43, MMMU Pro 0.68 → 0.81, Toolathlon 0.1 → 0.49, and $/mtok $10 → $3.

"Intelligence too cheap to meter" is on the horizon.

TIME Person of the Year - AI Architects

Let's not forget the OGs

December 11, 2025 • 5.2K views • 30 likes

A tribute to the architects of AI featured on TIME's Person of the Year cover.

1903 NYT article on flying machines

The future belongs to optimists

November 12, 2025 • 2.8K views • 24 likes

122 years ago it was inconceivable to many that a heavier-than-air craft might fly. What ultimately mattered was not skepticism, but those who charged forward in spite of it. The future belongs to optimists.

Irving John Good's 1964 paper

Irving John Good's prophecy

October 28, 2025 • 3.1K views • 16 likes

Sixty years ago Irving John Good somehow intuited the trajectory we are living through. It's all here - the role of computers in helping humanity endure, neural networks, the mechanization of intelligence, recursive self-improvement, alignment...just remember:

The survival of man depends on the early construction of an ultra-intelligent machine.

Essays

Genomic Atheneum

The Genomic atheneum

March 31, 2009 • Columbia Spectator • 4 min read

Exploring the future of genomic science and knowledge repositories.

Bachelor of Medicine

Bachelor of medicine

February 24, 2009 • Columbia Spectator • 5 min read

Reflections on medical education and the path to becoming a physician.